Disclosure Day Holds Strong Despite Steep Second-Weekend Drop

Steven Spielberg’s sci-fi thriller Disclosure Day is expected to surrender the top position at the North American box office after just one weekend, as Disney-Pixar’s Toy Story 5 heads toward a massive debut.

After exceeding industry expectations during its opening frame, Disclosure Day collected $44.5 million from 3,824 theaters across North America. By Thursday, the film’s domestic earnings had climbed to nearly $61.3 million. Combined with international ticket sales totaling $49.4 million, the alien-themed thriller has generated $110.7 million worldwide.

Based on an original story by Steven Spielberg and written by David Koepp, the film stars Josh O’Connor as Daniel Kellner, a cybersecurity specialist who gains access to sensitive government information regarding extraterrestrial contact. Emily Blunt portrays television meteorologist Margaret Fairchild, whose public use of an alien language goes viral, while Colin Firth plays the leader of a non-governmental organization determined to prevent the revelation of alien existence.

Despite its strong opening performance, industry projections reported by Deadline indicate that Disclosure Day could earn approximately $16.5 million during its second weekend, representing a 63% decline from its debut. If those estimates hold, the film’s domestic total would reach about $77.7 million after 10 days in theaters.

Meanwhile, Toy Story 5 is forecast to dominate the weekend box office with an opening haul between $160 million and $170 million from 4,425 North American locations. Such a performance would comfortably place the animated sequel at No. 1 while pushing Disclosure Day into second place.

Although a 63% second-weekend drop is significant, Disclosure Day remains in a stronger financial position than some recent summer tentpoles. According to Variety, the film was produced for $115 million and supported by an $80 million marketing campaign. Comparable releases this season have faced steeper declines. The Mandalorian and Grogu fell 69% in its second weekend, while Masters of the Universe dropped 71% during its sophomore frame.

Elsewhere, independent releases continue to perform strongly. Deadline projects Obsession will bring in $13.1 million during its seventh weekend, a decline of 31% from the previous frame. That result would increase the film’s domestic earnings to $214.7 million. Earlier this week, the horror thriller from writer-director Curry Barker surpassed The Blair Witch Project as the highest-grossing festival acquisition in history. The film also crossed $300 million globally, setting another record for Focus Features after being acquired at the 2025 Toronto International Film Festival. Obsession is currently playing in 3,053 theaters.

Director Kane Parsons’ Backrooms is projected to earn $7.5 million from 2,851 North American venues this weekend, marking a 35% decline from the previous frame. If achieved, the film’s domestic total would rise to $175.3 million in its fourth week of release. Produced for $10 million, the film has become one of the season’s standout performers.

Rounding out the top five is the Wayans brothers’ horror comedy Scary Movie, which is expected to collect $7 million from 3,490 theaters. The figure would represent a 51% decline from the previous weekend and increase its domestic box office total to $97.9 million.

Weekend estimates are subject to change as additional ticket sales data becomes available. Final box office figures are expected to be released on Monday.