Supergirl Eyes $40M Opening, Missing Early Box Office Forecasts

DC Studios’ Supergirl is projected to deliver a weaker-than-expected opening weekend at the North American box office, with current estimates placing the film at approximately $40 million through Sunday, well below its initial pre-release projections.

The film stars Milly Alcock as Kara Zor-El, making her first full-feature appearance after debuting in a cameo at the conclusion of James Gunn’s Superman in July 2025. Directed by I, Tonya and Cruella filmmaker Craig Gillespie, Supergirl follows Kara as she joins Ruthye Marye Knoll, played by Eve Ridley, on a mission of revenge against Krem of the Yellow Hills, portrayed by Matthias Schoenaerts. The story also sees Kara pursuing Krem after he poisons Krypto the Superdog and possesses the antidote needed to save him.

The PG-13 superhero film also features Jason Momoa as the alien bounty hunter Lobo, while David Corenswet appears in a supporting role as Clark Kent, also known as Superman.

Warner Bros. generated $7.8 million from Wednesday fan screenings and Thursday previews. According to Deadline, Friday’s domestic total, including preview earnings, is estimated at $18 million. The studio’s latest weekend projection stands at roughly $40 million from more than 3,600 theaters across North America.

Early tracking had suggested a significantly stronger debut. Deadline reported on June 4 that the film was expected to open above $55 million before revising its forecast earlier this week to the upper-$40 million range. Variety had also estimated an opening between $47 million and $50 million. The publication reported that Supergirl was produced on a budget of $170 million, excluding worldwide marketing expenses.

Despite its release, Supergirl is expected to finish second at the domestic box office behind Toy Story 5, which Deadline projects will earn $74 million during its second weekend from 4,425 North American theaters. If those estimates hold, Toy Story 5 will surpass $300 million in domestic ticket sales after just 10 days in theaters.

The only other nationwide newcomer this weekend is Jackass: Best and Last, the fifth and final installment in the franchise. Deadline projects the comedy will earn between $8 million and $10 million from 2,855 theaters, while Variety reported its production budget at $10 million before marketing costs.

Meanwhile, writer-director Curry Barker’s horror thriller Obsession is expected to collect $8.5 million from 2,965 theaters, increasing its domestic total to approximately $232.6 million since opening on May 15. Given the film’s consistent performance, it could still overtake Jackass: Best and Last for third place before final weekend figures are released.

Steven Spielberg’s sci-fi thriller Disclosure Day is projected to round out the top five with about $7 million from 3,357 theaters. If projections remain unchanged, its domestic earnings will reach an estimated $93.2 million by the end of the weekend.

Final domestic box office results are scheduled to be released on Monday after weekend ticket sales are finalized.